TY - JOUR
T1 - A commentary on Mel Rutherford's 'On the use and misuse of the "two children" brainteaser'
AU - Bar-Hillel, Maya
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - Rutherford (2010) criticizes the way some people have analyzed the 2-children problem, claiming (correctly) that slight nuances in the problem's formulation can change the correct answer. However, his own data demonstrate that even when there is a unique correct answer, participants give intuitive answers that differ from it systematically - replicating the data reported by those he criticizes. Thus, his critique reduces to an admonition to use care in formulating and analyzing this brainteaser - which is always a good idea - but contributes little to what is known, analytically or empirically, about the 2-children problem.
AB - Rutherford (2010) criticizes the way some people have analyzed the 2-children problem, claiming (correctly) that slight nuances in the problem's formulation can change the correct answer. However, his own data demonstrate that even when there is a unique correct answer, participants give intuitive answers that differ from it systematically - replicating the data reported by those he criticizes. Thus, his critique reduces to an admonition to use care in formulating and analyzing this brainteaser - which is always a good idea - but contributes little to what is known, analytically or empirically, about the 2-children problem.
KW - 2-children problem
KW - Brainteasers
KW - Conditional probability
KW - Probability paradoxes
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=77954129877&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1075/pc.18.1.08bar
DO - 10.1075/pc.18.1.08bar
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AN - SCOPUS:77954129877
SN - 0929-0907
VL - 18
SP - 175
EP - 179
JO - Pragmatics and Cognition
JF - Pragmatics and Cognition
IS - 1
ER -