TY - JOUR
T1 - A note on optimal detection of a change in distribution
AU - Yakir, Benjamin
PY - 1997/10
Y1 - 1997/10
N2 - Suppose X1, X2,..., Xv-1 are iid random variables with distribution F0, and Xv, Xv+1,... are are iid with distributed F1. The change point v is unknown. The problem is to raise an alarm as soon as possible after the distribution changes from F0 to F1 (detect the change), but to avoid false alarms. Pollak found a version of the Shiryayev-Roberts procedure to be asymptotically optimal for the problem of minimizing the average run length to detection over all stopping times which satisfy a given constraint on the rate of false alarms. Here we find that this procedure is strictly optimal for a slight reformulation of the problem he considered. Explicit formulas are developed for the calculation of the average run length (both before and after the change) for the optimal stopping time.
AB - Suppose X1, X2,..., Xv-1 are iid random variables with distribution F0, and Xv, Xv+1,... are are iid with distributed F1. The change point v is unknown. The problem is to raise an alarm as soon as possible after the distribution changes from F0 to F1 (detect the change), but to avoid false alarms. Pollak found a version of the Shiryayev-Roberts procedure to be asymptotically optimal for the problem of minimizing the average run length to detection over all stopping times which satisfy a given constraint on the rate of false alarms. Here we find that this procedure is strictly optimal for a slight reformulation of the problem he considered. Explicit formulas are developed for the calculation of the average run length (both before and after the change) for the optimal stopping time.
KW - Bayes rule
KW - Control charts
KW - Minimax rule
KW - Quality control
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0031510624&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1214/aos/1069362390
DO - 10.1214/aos/1069362390
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AN - SCOPUS:0031510624
SN - 0090-5364
VL - 25
SP - 2117
EP - 2126
JO - Annals of Statistics
JF - Annals of Statistics
IS - 5
ER -