Abstract
We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval [0, A] as A ? ?. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably standardized) that does not rely on embedding in a regeneration process. We show that under certain conditions the moment generating function of a suitably standardized version of the first exit time converges to that of Exponential(1), and we connect between the standardizing constant and the quasi-stationary distribution (assuming it exists). The results are applied to the evaluation of a distribution of run length to false alarm in change-point detection problems.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 430-442 |
| Number of pages | 13 |
| Journal | Theory of Probability and its Applications |
| Volume | 53 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 2009 |
Keywords
- Asymptotic exponentiality
- Change-point problems
- Cusum procedures
- First exit time
- Shiryaev-roberts procedures