Comment: Laplace and cognitive illusions

Daniel Kahneman; Maya Bar-Hillel

doi:10.1214/19-STS750

Comment: Laplace and cognitive illusions

Daniel Kahneman, Maya Bar-Hillel

Department of Psychology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

Reports in the 1970s of cognitive illusions in judgments of uncertainty had been anticipated by Laplace 150 years earlier. We discuss Miller and Gelman's remark that Laplace's anticipation of the main ideas of the heuristics and biases approach "gives us a new perspective on these ideas as more universal and less contingent on particular developments [that came much] later.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	171-172
Number of pages	2
Journal	Statistical Science
Volume	35
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1214/19-STS750
State	Published - 1 May 2020

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, Institute of Mathematical Statistics.

Keywords

Cognitive illusions
Heuristics and biases
Judgment under uncertainty

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10.1214/19-STS750

Cite this

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Comment: Laplace and cognitive illusions

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Keywords

Access to Document

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