Evaluating Ice Phase Microphysics in the Simulation of a Snowstorm Over Northern China

The complexity of ice particles in the atmosphere makes it difficult to model microphysical growth processes accurately. In this study, we simulated a snowfall case over Northern China Plain using two different microphysics schemes, that is, Thompson and Morrison schemes, in the Advanced Research WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model. Both schemes are able to reproduce the event, albeit with a slightly weaker precipitation compared with the surface observation. However, the radar reflectivity factor in Morrison simulation is higher than the radar observation to ∼10 dBZ. Further analysis reveals that such stronger radar reflectivity in the Morrison simulation might be caused by larger collection efficiency, which would lead to more active self-aggregation process in prediction of snow number concentration and then larger snow particle size. Sensitivity tests show that using an alternative formula of collection efficiency produces smaller radar reflectivity that is in better agreement with observations. This study highlights the accurate representation of self-aggregation process and underscores the needs of further improvement of ice microphysics schemes for the better snowfall simulations.