Fertility and other demographic variables in multicultural Jerusalem, 1995-2020

This paper presents selected findings from a new set of population projections for the city of Jerusalem over the period 1995-2020. The paper describes trends observed in the growth rates of eight main religious, ethnic, and socioeconomic sub-populations, each with its own patterns of fertility, geographical mobility, and age composition. Selected results of population projections are presented, covering a range of different hypotheses. Attention is given to the balance of the Jewish versus the Arab and other population, and within the Jewish population, of the more religiously observant sub-population versus the rest. Some implications of the current and expected demographic trends for urban and national policies are outlined in the conclusions,