TY - JOUR
T1 - Inevitably reborn
T2 - The reawakening of extinct innovations
AU - Goldenberg, Jacob
AU - Libai, Barak
AU - Louzoun, Yoram
AU - Mazursky, David
AU - Solomon, Sorin
PY - 2004/11
Y1 - 2004/11
N2 - In our innovation-driven world we tend to lay concepts that have lost their attractiveness to rest and rush to embrace the next giant leap. However, in most fields of creation, patterns of reawakening of old, extinct innovations can be found. It often looks as if new technological and social concepts have a life of their own, survival instincts and adaptive properties: They simply refuse to die. Should these phenomena be resolved on an ad hoc basis or are they grounded in the foundation of social behavior or evolutionary processes of technology? In conditions in which continuum equations would predict the extinction of a population, the presently offered microscopic representation proves that individuals self-organize in spatiotemporally localized adaptive patches that ensure their survival, resilience, and development as a collective. A similar treatment can explain why so many innovations are inevitably reborn. Accordingly, in assessing the value of social ideas, trends and even wants we ought to consider longer time frames following the decline of innovations, otherwise we might prematurely and erroneously discard successful promising concepts.
AB - In our innovation-driven world we tend to lay concepts that have lost their attractiveness to rest and rush to embrace the next giant leap. However, in most fields of creation, patterns of reawakening of old, extinct innovations can be found. It often looks as if new technological and social concepts have a life of their own, survival instincts and adaptive properties: They simply refuse to die. Should these phenomena be resolved on an ad hoc basis or are they grounded in the foundation of social behavior or evolutionary processes of technology? In conditions in which continuum equations would predict the extinction of a population, the presently offered microscopic representation proves that individuals self-organize in spatiotemporally localized adaptive patches that ensure their survival, resilience, and development as a collective. A similar treatment can explain why so many innovations are inevitably reborn. Accordingly, in assessing the value of social ideas, trends and even wants we ought to consider longer time frames following the decline of innovations, otherwise we might prematurely and erroneously discard successful promising concepts.
KW - Innovation
KW - Reawakening
KW - Spatiotemporal
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0346124661&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.09.005
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.09.005
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AN - SCOPUS:0346124661
SN - 0040-1625
VL - 71
SP - 881
EP - 896
JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
IS - 9
ER -