Lack of Vertical Co-Location Between Aerosols and Clouds Biases the Satellite-Based Quantification of the Twomey Effect

  • Yicheng Wei
  • , Yannian Zhu*
  • , Jihu Liu*
  • , Yang Cao
  • , Yichuan Wang
  • , Kang En Huang
  • , Boyang Zheng
  • , Daniel Rosenfeld
  • , Minghuai Wang
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Uncertainties in aerosol–cloud interactions (ACI) remain significant. Recent studies report an anti-Twomey phenomenon, where cloud droplet effective radius (Re) exhibits a positive correlation with aerosol optical depth (AOD), contrary to the classical Twomey effect. Using long-term satellite and reanalysis data over East Asia, we found a strong positive Re-AOD correlation. Further analysis reveals that AOD, as a column-integrated quantity, lacks aerosol vertical information and cannot fully represent cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), potentially misleading the interpretation of the Twomey effect. Consequently, we analyzed aerosol vertical profiles and introduced a metric, Elevated Aerosol Ratio (EAratio), defined as the ratio of aerosol concentration integrals above and below clouds. Higher EAratio values correlated with a stronger anti-Twomey phenomenon, while lower values aligned with the classical Twomey effect. Notably, the anti-Twomey phenomenon primarily appeared under low liquid water path (LWP) conditions: as LWP increased, both the anti-Twomey phenomenon and the influence of EAratio diminished. Moreover, the marine anti-Twomey phenomenon is linked to pollution. Elevated aerosol layers in heavily polluted nearshore areas—driven by anthropogenic emissions and atmospheric dispersion—distort the Re-AOD relationship. Additionally, while coarse aerosols suppress marine anti-Twomey phenomenon, the EAratio-based analysis remains valid when excluding their influence as much as possible. Our findings demonstrate that the observed anti-Twomey phenomenon is primarily a statistical artifact arising from the lack of vertical co-location between aerosols and clouds. This mismatch biases the satellite-based quantification of the Twomey effect when column-integrated AOD is used as a proxy for CCN.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2025JD045463
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Volume130
Issue number24
DOIs
StatePublished - 28 Dec 2025

Bibliographical note

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© 2025. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

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