Stratospheric response to intraseasonal changes in incoming solar radiation

C. I. Garfinkel*, V. Silverman, N. Harnik, C. Haspel, Y. Riz

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Scopus citations


Superposed epoch analysis of meteorological reanalysis data is used to demonstrate a significant connection between intraseasonal solar variability and temperatures in the stratosphere. Decreasing solar flux leads to a cooling of the tropical upper stratosphere above 7 hPa, while increasing solar flux leads to a warming of the tropical upper stratosphere above 7 hPa, after a lag of approximately 6-10 days. Late winter (February-March) Arctic stratospheric temperatures also change in response to changing incoming solar flux in a manner consistent with that seen on the 11 year timescale: 10-30 days after the start of decreasing solar flux, the polar cap warms during the easterly phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation. In contrast, cooling is present after decreasing solar flux during the westerly phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (though it is less robust than the warming during the easterly phase). The estimated composite mean changes in Northern Hemisphere upper stratospheric (~ 5 hPa) polar temperatures exceed 8 K and are potentially a source of intraseasonal predictability for the surface. These changes in polar temperature are consistent with the changes in wave driving entering the stratosphere.

Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)7648-7660
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research
Issue number15
StatePublished - 2015

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© 2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.


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