Sub-seasonal predictability and the stratosphere

Amy Butler, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Chaim Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Peter Hitchcock, Alexey Yu Karpechko, Amanda C. Maycock, Michael Sigmond, Isla Simpson, Seok Woo Son

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

48 Scopus citations


The stratosphere and the troposphere are coupled in many ways. Because their interactions span days to weeks (or even longer), understanding these linkages and simulating them correctly in forecast models may provide a source of sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction skill. This chapter reviews the tropical and extratropical coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere and summarizes the most recent research showing how adequate simulation of the stratosphere may contribute to better prediction skill in the troposphere.

Original languageAmerican English
Title of host publicationSub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction
Subtitle of host publicationThe Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting
Number of pages19
ISBN (Electronic)9780128117149
ISBN (Print)9780128117156
StatePublished - 1 Jan 2018

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.


  • Extratropical troposphere
  • QBO influence
  • S2S prediction
  • Stratosphere
  • Sub-seasonal prediction
  • Troposphere


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