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The Effect of Universal Health Care on the Out-of-Pocket Health Expenditures: Evidence From a Natural Experiment

  • Muhammad Asali*
  • , Valida Pantsulaia
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In the first two quarters of 2013, the Georgian government introduced and fully implemented a universal health care (UHC) programme covering all those not yet publicly or privately insured. Using panel estimation methods and difference-in-differences estimation with synthetic treatment and control groups, we estimate the effect of the UHC programme on the level of out-of-pocket (OOP) health expenditures of households. The programme saved households an economically and statistically significant monthly amount of 105 Georgian Laris (64 USD then) per household, amounting to approximately 16% of the average household monthly income at the time. The reduction in OOP payments is almost entirely attributed to people utilising essential, emergency, and life-saving health services. About half of the resulting increase in household disposable income has been rechannelled to other non-health expenditures such as transportation, education, clothing, and other household items. All in all, the UHC programme is hypothesised to have improved the overall health status and the quality of life in the country.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)459-473
Number of pages15
JournalEconomics of Transition and Institutional Change
Volume34
Issue number3
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities
    SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities

Keywords

  • health insurance
  • out of pocket health expenditures
  • public health
  • synthetic control
  • universal healthcare

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