The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities

Antje Weisheimer; Laura H. Baker; Jochen Bröcker; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Steven C. Hardiman; Dan L.R. Hodson; Tim N. Palmer; Jon I. Robson; Adam A. Scaife; James A. Screen; Theodore G. Shepherd; Doug M. Smith; Rowan T. Sutton

doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities

Antje Weisheimer^*
, Laura H. Baker
, Jochen Bröcker
, Chaim I. Garfinkel
, Steven C. Hardiman
, Dan L.R. Hodson
, Tim N. Palmer
, Jon I. Robson
, Adam A. Scaife
, James A. Screen
, Theodore G. Shepherd
, Doug M. Smith
, Rowan T. Sutton

^*Corresponding author for this work

Fredy & Nadine Herrmann Institute of Earth Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

33 Scopus citations

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	E651-E659
Journal	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume	105
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1
State	Published - Mar 2024

Keywords

Climate prediction
Climate variability
Ensembles
North Atlantic Oscillation

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10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

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Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H., Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R., Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I., Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., Smith, D. M., & Sutton, R. T. (2024). The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(3), E651-E659. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

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title = "The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities",

keywords = "Climate prediction, Climate variability, Ensembles, North Atlantic Oscillation",

author = "Antje Weisheimer and Baker, \{Laura H.\} and Jochen Br{\"o}cker and Garfinkel, \{Chaim I.\} and Hardiman, \{Steven C.\} and Hodson, \{Dan L.R.\} and Palmer, \{Tim N.\} and Robson, \{Jon I.\} and Scaife, \{Adam A.\} and Screen, \{James A.\} and Shepherd, \{Theodore G.\} and Smith, \{Doug M.\} and Sutton, \{Rowan T.\}",

year = "2024",

month = mar,

doi = "10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1",

language = "אנגלית",

volume = "105",

pages = "E651--E659",

journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",

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Weisheimer, A, Baker, LH, Bröcker, J, Garfinkel, CI, Hardiman, SC, Hodson, DLR, Palmer, TN, Robson, JI, Scaife, AA, Screen, JA, Shepherd, TG, Smith, DM & Sutton, RT 2024, 'The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 105, no. 3, pp. E651-E659. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

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T1 - The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities

AU - Weisheimer, Antje

AU - Baker, Laura H.

AU - Bröcker, Jochen

AU - Garfinkel, Chaim I.

AU - Hardiman, Steven C.

AU - Hodson, Dan L.R.

AU - Palmer, Tim N.

AU - Robson, Jon I.

AU - Scaife, Adam A.

AU - Screen, James A.

AU - Shepherd, Theodore G.

AU - Smith, Doug M.

AU - Sutton, Rowan T.

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KW - Climate prediction

KW - Climate variability

KW - Ensembles

KW - North Atlantic Oscillation

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JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

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ER -

The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities

Keywords

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