Abstract
In 3 experiments, Ss were 1,794 high school students, university students, Israeli army recruits, and Americans studying Hebrew. When asked to judge which of 2 observations was more likely to be sampled from a given bell-shaped distribution, Ss correctly judged the more extreme to be less likely. When asked to judge which of 2 samples was more likely to be randomly drawn from that population, Ss did not rely on extremity but appeared to view the sample as a gestalt and to order it in terms of configural properties, which were only coincidentally related to the extremeness of the members. Thus, a sample with no variance was judged less likely than one that was variable; a sample representing only the upper half of the population was judged less likely than one representing both halves; and samples appeared more likely the closer their range and mean were to some ideal. These properties seem to have been considered hierarchically. As a result, an almost uniquely defined sample, the "prototypical," can be constructed, which is judged at least as likely as any other. Findings yield a description of representativeness in terms of a hierarchy of simple sample features. (6 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA, all rights reserved).
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 578-589 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance |
Volume | 6 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Aug 1980 |
Keywords
- Americans, Israel
- Army recruits &
- college students &
- probability judgment of representative samples, high school &