TY - JOUR
T1 - When do base rates affect predictions?
AU - Bar-Hillel, Maya
AU - Fischhoff, Baruch
PY - 1981/10
Y1 - 1981/10
N2 - M. Manis et al found that base rates had a clear effect on discrete predictions and a smaller effect on the confidence that Ss attached to those predictions. As a result, the findings of Manis et al can be reinterpreted in a way that makes them compatible with previous findings. In this light, their study emerges as a constructive replication of earlier results demonstrating judgment by representativeness. (15 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA, all rights reserved).
AB - M. Manis et al found that base rates had a clear effect on discrete predictions and a smaller effect on the confidence that Ss attached to those predictions. As a result, the findings of Manis et al can be reinterpreted in a way that makes them compatible with previous findings. In this light, their study emerges as a constructive replication of earlier results demonstrating judgment by representativeness. (15 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA, all rights reserved).
KW - base rates, predictions, critique of study by M. Manis et al
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85047684744&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1037/0022-3514.41.4.671
DO - 10.1037/0022-3514.41.4.671
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AN - SCOPUS:85047684744
SN - 0022-3514
VL - 41
SP - 671
EP - 680
JO - Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
JF - Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
IS - 4
ER -